Week three was not quite as injury riddled for fantasy stars, but the likes of Chris Godwin, Chris Carson, and Diontae Johnson all exited with injuries. In a week that saw new starters at the QB position emerge with Nick Foles and Justin Herbert, there may be new fantasy implications that go along with them as well.
If teams have gotten off to an 0-3 or 1-2 start, there is still plenty of time to bounce back and not panic or trade struggling stars like Joe Mixon, Julio Jones, Kenyan Drake, or DJ Moore for pennies on the dollar. All options come with inconsistencies, so it is important to remember that these players can easily have a three week stretch where they carry owners to wins.
Let’s find some good week four picks to help these struggling players get a big win.
QB: Deshaun Watson (vs. MIN)- Watson managers rejoice. After a brutal schedule to start the year, Watson finally has a softball matchup against the putrid Minnesota Vikings defense. The Vikings are in the bottom third in fantasy points allowed to the quarterback position, so they provide an excellent matchup for Watson to bounce back.
He had Will Fuller V back at full strength in week three and showed excellent chemistry with both him and Randall Cobb. I’m predicting Watson to finish as the overall number one quarterback this week as he spreads out the wealth throughout his pass catchers and finds the end zone on the ground as well.
RB: Mike Davis (vs. ARI)- Davis had an excellent week three performance while replacing star RB Christian McCaffrey. He scored over 23 points in a tough matchup against the Chargers’ stout defense. Davis showcased his dual threat ability by rushing and receiving for over 45 yards each including a score on a nice looking screen pass.
He gets a much softer matchup in week four against the Arizona Cardinals, a defense that can be beat through both facets of the game. Davis is a safe floor RB2 this week with low end RB1 upside in PPR formats. This will be a high scoring game, so there is plenty of opportunity for Davis to find the end zone.
WR: DeVante Parker (vs. SEA)- Parker has been decent so far, but not quite the waiver wire darling of last season. This is his chance to have a big day against a bad pass defense in the Seahawks. The Hawks are extremely banged up in the back end with multiple starting DBs going down to injury early this season.
They allowed 472 passing yards against Dallas and big production to WRs Michael Gallup, Amari Cooper, and Cedrick Wilson. Expect Parker to eclipse the 100-yard mark for the first time this year and start him as a WR2.
TE: Eric Ebron (vs. TEN)- This is definitely a pick for the deeper league players out there. Ebron is one of the many touchdown dependent tight ends in the NFL that make picking a “favorite” tight end a chore. This week, Ebron is my pick because he has multiple aspects going in his favor to score a touchdown. His targets and fantasy production has seen an increase through the first three weeks.
Against the Texans in week three, he saw seven targets and caught five of them for 52 yards and a beautiful touchdown grab. Big Ben has found a reliable red zone target, which was a big question mark going into the season. The Steelers may also be without breakout WR Diontae Johnson as he suffered a concussion in the week three win.
In a plus matchup against the Titans, Ebron should see at least five targets and has a good chance to score a touchdown as well as help fantasy teams win.
QB: Carson Wentz (vs. SF)- Wentz has been one of the most frustrating players to pick dating back to last season. Wentz as he is an extremely talented QB and deserves to be thought of as such, but this has been an inexcusable stretch to start the year as he looks like a shell of the player he was in his first four NFL seasons. He had every opportunity to have a monster fantasy game, but missed Miles Sanders and multiple other receivers on open routes.
He was able to have a big day on the ground with 65 yards and a touchdown to earn a decent 21-point day, but he looked awful. He is now playing a banged up Niners defense that still looked good against the Giants in week three. Wentz is a droppable player if you need a waiver pickup, and a guy that should only be started in a superflex (two starting QB) league.
RB: Joe Mixon (vs. JAX)- It’s time to reveal the hard truth about Mixon, which is that he is not the factor that he was supposed to be in this offense. After being a high-second or late-first round pick, he has not gotten the job done for fantasy managers in the early season. He has gotten over 16 carries in each of his three games, but has yet to average more than four yards per carry in any of them.
He also has not been involved in the receiving game with only seven catches in three weeks. With no touchdowns yet either, he has only crossed the 10-point threshold one time across three games. Mixon has a plus matchup against the Jags this week, but should be considered a flex option at best going forward. If he finds the endzone, trade him before his schedule gets tougher.
WR: T.Y. Hilton (vs. CHI)- Similar to Mixon, Hilton has been a monumental disappointment, scoring under 10 points in all three games so far this year. He has been in three great matchups to start the year as well, and the schedule is starting to get tougher for the Colts. He faces the best defense they have played this season in the Chicago Bears, so there is no reason that he has a good fantasy week in week four.
The Bears limited the Falcons pass catchers as Calvin Ridley had over 100 yards, but it was his worst game of the young season. Hilton is a risky flex play and is more of a bench player until he proves otherwise.
TE: Jonnu Smith (vs. PIT)- Smith has been one of the better fantasy TEs in the league with over 10 full PPR points in each of the first three games. He was mildly disappointing in week three with 11 PPR points, which was better than a majority of the tight ends. In what is the weakest and hardest to predict position in fantasy football, Smith has been a breakout option for managers who punted their tight end on draft day.
He goes up against a tough defense in the Steelers, who are right around the middle of the pack in points allowed to tight ends. He is still a start worthy play because of his volume and talent, but expect him to go without a touchdown this week and finish between 5 and 10 at the tight end position.